While various studies have examined rates of post-traumatic
stress disorder (PTSD) following natural disasters including
earthquakes, samples were often non-representative or small or
both. A study published in the October issue of Social Psychiatry and Psychiatric Epidemiology provides a comprehensive look at the prevalence of PTSD and predictors
of PTSD 6 months after an earthquake in a rural region of Italy.
Using questionnaires, approximately 3,000 people were assessed in the region of Molise in Italy 6 months
after an earthquake in October/November 2002. The questionnaire
assessed socio-demographic characteristics, aspects of the event, the
experience of symptoms immediately after the earthquake, and symptoms
of PTSD. The results were based on the 2,148 questionnaires that were returned (a response rate of 73.7%). The results from the final analysis1,680 people showed a PTSD prevalence rate of
14.5%. Socio-demographic factors such as male gender, age under 55 years, and better school education
predicted lower rates of PTSD but psychological symptoms experienced immediately after the event were also strong predictors. The researchers concluded that findings on predictive variables are
consistent with the literature. Although personal characteristics explain
only a small part of PTSD varianc esix months after the event, early
psychological distress allows a better prediction of who is likely to
have PTSD 6 months later.
Click here for the abstract.
Click here for the abstract.
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